Tag Results

Entries tagged statistics

September 23, 2013 8:11 AM Why Third-Party Predictions Can Be So Weirdly Optimistic

Doug Mataconis is impressed that third-party candidate Robert Sarvis is polling as high as 10% in the Virginia Governor’s race.Color me skeptical, not because of anything specific to Sarvis but because of statistics. As the true level of candidate’s support...

By Keith Humphreys

May 20, 2013 11:14 AM The Relevance of Statisticians to Researchers in Different fields of Social Science

Someone pointed me to a remark someone who felt that statisticians were not doing their job to help out “mathematically challenged” psychology researchers. My first thought was that statisticians often help in an indirect way, by developing advanced methods that...

By Andrew Gelman

March 18, 2013 11:18 AM Lying With Graphs

This post is mostly not about economics or even politics but rather about the central role of comparisons in statistics and statistical graphics.It started when someone pointed me to this article in which Megan McArdle points out the misleadingness of...

By Andrew Gelman

February 21, 2013 10:39 AM The Problem with Statistics

I was thinking more about David Brooks’s anti-data column from earlier in the week, and I realized what is really bothering me.Brooks expresses skepticism about numbers, about the limitations of raw data, about the importance of human thinking. Fine, I...

By Andrew Gelman

February 05, 2013 11:55 AM The Zombie Infant Mortality Explanation

There is it, in the lead of an editorial in the WSJ: Those Misleading World Health Rankings The numbers are distorted because, for instance, U.S. doctors try so hard to save premature babies. And from later in the piece: Another...

By Aaron Carroll