Ten Miles Square


August 24, 2011 10:43 AM Making Palin “Disappear”

By John Sides

Steve Kornacki has a suggestion:

In other words, those who just want her to go away should consider a Palin presidential campaign an investment: You’d have to deal with a few weeks (or maybe even months) of saturation coverage, but there’d be a good chance it would all end with Palin’s presence in our lives severely and permanently diminished.

This is because, in his view, her campaign would be an “epic, humiliating defeat, the sort of disaster that might once and for all convince the political and media worlds that the empress has no clothes.”

That all may be true.  But here’s another way to make Palin disappear: have a presidential election in which she is not a candidate.  The surest way to sideline any prominent Republican politician between now and November 2012 is for them not to enter the race.  Indeed, even those that do enter the race will be sidelined by not winning.  The candidates, and then the ultimate nominee, will suck up virtually all of the oxygen.

As far as Palin goes, that process is already underway, according to Google Trends:

Palin is in blue, Romney in orange, Bachmann in red, and Perry in green.  In terms of search volume, Bachmann and Perry are spiking.  In terms of news reference volume, Bachmann, Perry, and Romney all outpace Palin now.

If you’re a potential presidential candidate and want to be consistently in the news when a presidential campaign is underway, you have to be a candidate.

[Cross-posted at The Monkey Cage]

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John Sides is an associate professor of political science at George Washington University.


  • KurtRex1453 on August 25, 2011 10:33 AM:

    I have put the odds are roughly 3:2 that Palin will be largely vanished by late November. If see does not run, news outlets will ignore her. I'f she does run and polls poorly, she will be reduced to Cain status at best. The 3rd alternative, she runs and polls well. Seems to be to be about equal to the others. So, given all this I think she has an excellent chance of being as relevant as Dan Quayle come the new year.

  • liam foote on August 25, 2011 12:39 PM:

    I've put some cash into shares at InTrade anticipating that she won't make a formal announcement for president this year. Ms. Palin strikes me as greedy and lazy, meaning that she wouldn't want to give up the lucrative trips and ventures of which we've all grown tired, nor would she like to subject herself to the rigors of national politics.

    Additionally, I though that all Fox minions were required to resign if considering a 2012 campaign. Is she even still at Fox? I must admit I haven't been paying much attention to this muffin head recently.

  • Cal Gal on August 26, 2011 12:22 AM:

    She's not going to run because of "the children."

    She didn't even like running for veep, you think she want to run for the hard job?

    Her brain (and Todd's) are scrambling for some way to keep her relevant with making her do hard, hard work.

  • Cal Gal on August 26, 2011 12:23 AM:

    That should have been WITHOUT hard, hard work.