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June 07, 2012 11:00 AM The Party of the Governor Doesn’t Influence the Presidential Election

By John Sides

Nate Silver runs down the numbers.  Let me also link to this post.  It cites a study (gated) of the 1932-2000 presidential elections by Richard Powell.  The upshot:

Generally, parties do not derive significant electoral benefits in states selected to host the national convention or those in which they control the governorship.

Emphasis mine.

[Cross-posted at The Monkey Cage]

John Sides is an associate professor of political science at George Washington University.

Comments

  • Werewolf on June 07, 2012 9:19 AM:

    Important caveat: Above does not apply if the governor is the brother of a candidate and the Secretary of State (in charge of elections) is that candidate's state campaign manager.