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September 28, 2012 12:05 PM Latest Poll Results: 56%-44%

By Andrew Gelman

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From the Round Rock Leader:

Everybody’s laughing about this poll but it looks accurate to me! According to the official figures, voter turnout in Texas in the last presidential election was 46% of the voting-age population. So 44% seems like a reasonable guess for this year.

[Cross-posted at The Monkey Cage]

Andrew Gelman is a professor of statistics and political science and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University.
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  • Texas Aggie on September 29, 2012 9:28 PM:

    What can I say? Molly had it right when she questioned the logical thinking abilities of Texans in general and politically oriented ones specifically.

    But then every once in a while, someone does something like this just for the humor of the situation, like a Matuszewski telling a Pollack joke.

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