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November 07, 2012 11:58 AM Post Election Thoughts

By Aaron Carroll

I stayed up way too late last night, but listening to my kids’ excitement about the election this morning was totally worth it. In no particular order, here are my thoughts:

1) Both President Obama and governor Romney gave pitch perfect speeches last night. It was worth staying up for them.

2) Any number of people owe Nate Silver a huge apology. Not because he was right, but because they were so wrong. People got angry about his results, but could rarely find fault with his methods. From a scientific perspective, that rubs me the wrong way. Regardless, this was a huge victory for his methodology. I can’t tell you how often I said last night that since I was seeing nothing to prove the polls had been wrong, it was likely Nate was right. And he was.

3) Speaking of victories for science, it appears that losing sight of it is not a winning formula in Senate campaigns.

4) I’m stunned at how tough Obamacare has turned out to be. It’s always felt fragile, but now it’s hard to see how it’s not going to be cemented into America. We’re getting the exchanges. We’re getting the Medicaid expansion. We’re getting the regulations and the subsidies. Once they are all in effect in 2014, I can’t see anyone running on a platform to take them away.

I’m writing a longer post on health care specifically. Back to work.

UPDATE: a colleague has a similar post up. Every time someone mentions “Waterloo”, I think back to this:

The Colbert Report Mon – Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
Aaron Carroll
www.colbertnation.com
Colbert Report Full Episodes Political Humor & Satire Blog Video Archive

Man, that seems like a long time ago now.

[Cross-posted at The Incidental Economist]

Aaron Carroll ,MD, is an associate professor of Pediatrics and the associate director of Children’s Health Services Research at Indiana University School of Medicine.
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