Ten Miles Square

August 2014 Archives

August 31, 2014 10:20 AM APSA on Fire

As many of you probably know, the main APSA hotel had a fire evacuation on Friday night. The situation lasted about 7 hours. There were no serious injuries and the...

By Julia Azari

August 30, 2014 8:36 AM In Praise of John Boehner

How good a speaker has John Boehner been? I’ve been hanging out at the American Political Science Association annual meeting in Washington this week. I was a bit surprised when...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 29, 2014 3:18 PM Romney? Again? Please Stop

This week, Mitt Romney said there was a "one of a million" chance he'd run again for president in 2016. Political journalism being what it is, his comments were taken...

By Ramesh Ponnuru

August 29, 2014 1:06 PM Republicans Misread Their 'Gender Gap' Problem

Polling turns out to be a business in which generating data that confirm the thuddingly obvious can get you both money and news media attention. Politico tried hard to make...

By Ramesh Ponnuru

August 29, 2014 8:24 AM Weekend Film Recommendation: In the Name of the Father

By 1993, Daniel Day-Lewis had cemented his reputation as one of the foremost young British talents in cinema. The method acting for which he had acquired the interest of the...

By Johann Koehler

August 28, 2014 4:18 PM Mismatch Between Patient Preferences and What Medicare Covers

I have a new paper with Duke and NIH colleagues out this week (early online) in the Journal of Clinical Oncology (full pdf:JCO-2014-Taylor) that demonstrates gaps between the stated preferences of Medicare beneficiaries...

By Don Taylor

August 28, 2014 12:50 PM Catch of the Day: Local Politics Get Short Shrift

A well-deserved Catch to Ezra Klein for the final item in his post “The 9 most important facts about the 2014 election” -- that local elections are hugely underappreciated. The...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 28, 2014 10:25 AM The Limits of Shaming and Guilt-induction as Argumentation Tactics

Kevin Drum has written a doleful, observant pair of posts about certain argumentation tactics he observes among leftists. In the first he addresses guilt: let’s be honest: We really do...

By Keith Humphreys

August 27, 2014 10:48 AM Kansas Just Got Very Interesting

I have been keeping my eye on the polls out of Kansas but I did not fully understand their implications until I read this piece by Sam Wang in The...

By Martin Longman

August 26, 2014 10:44 AM Loving and Hating Obamacare With One Muddled Mind

E.J. Dionne has a nice column pointing out that while “Obamacare” remains unpopular, most of the provisions are well-liked, and thus Democrats should run on the issue. As regular readers...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 26, 2014 10:35 AM Ending the Euro: An Impermissible Discussion?

The Eurozone remains an economic basket case, creating neither jobs nor economic growth. The Eurocracy is now abuzz with more policy proposals that will allegedly save the common currency. To...

By Keith Humphreys

August 25, 2014 9:08 AM Why Gun Makers and the NRA are Driving the Militarization of the Police Even More Than the Pentagon

The recent events in Ferguson, Missouri have awakened Americans to the alarming degree to which our nation’s police departments have become militarized. As media reports have made clear, much of...

By Peter Mancuso

August 24, 2014 7:53 PM Public Universities Need to be Nurtured, Protected as an Investment for All

For the nation’s colleges and universities, this is a time for reflection and deliberation. From President Obama to state legislators, political pundits to concerned parents, people are raising significant questions...

By Janet Napolitano

August 24, 2014 11:30 AM With Apologies to Cicero

When, O Maureen, do you intend to cease abusing our patience? How long is that madness of yours still to mock us? When is there to be an end of...

By Martin Longman

August 22, 2014 3:01 PM Catch of the Day: Who Believes in Crazy Conspiracy Theories?

A catch to Andrew Gelman for correcting an attempted but inaccurate catch by Alfred Moore, Joseph Parent and Joseph Uscinski, who thought they had caught Paul Krugman in an error...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 21, 2014 3:47 PM Promises, Promises in Foreign Policy

Dan Drezner stuck a fascinating hypothesis about presidential politics down at the end of a post about foreign policy, and I want to highlight it because as far as I...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 20, 2014 3:38 PM Mitch McConnell Doesn't Want a Shutdown

Oh, c’mon. I know we’re well into the campaign silly season, and I suppose that Republicans have earned what they’re getting today with their ill-considered government shutdown strategy last fall...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 20, 2014 12:15 PM Rush to Judgment on the Rick Perry Indictment

I don’t know whether Gov. Rick Perry is guilty of anything, or - assuming he is - whether the special prosecutor has the goods to prove it, let alone whether...

By Mark Kleiman

August 19, 2014 3:15 PM We Are Spending Way Too Much to Raise Our Kids

The U.S. Department of Agriculture has released its annual report on the cost of raising children, and the upshot is what you probably already know: It’s expensive. This does not...

By Megan McArdle

August 19, 2014 11:58 AM Abandoning the Democratic Script

President Obama's remarks this afternoon dealt with two distinct crises, the situation in Iraq and the situation in Ferguson, Missouri. The two problems differ in many ways, but one characteristic...

By Julia Azari

August 18, 2014 6:21 PM "Bad Cess"

Patrick Nielsen Hayden on Twitter today wished bad cess on a Hugo nominee apparently belonging to the richly-deserving-of-the-worst-cess-possible class. ‘Bad cess’ is an Irish expression; I suspect Patrick got it...

By Henry Farrell

August 18, 2014 6:14 PM Hillary's Wealth Won't Matter

Yesterday, Annie Lowrey considered Hillary Clinton’s recent (and continuing) stumbles over her wealth. She concluded that none of this "Mitt Romney problem" will matter because Democrats have a proven rhetorical...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 18, 2014 6:03 PM Off-Cycle Elections and the Parties

In a recent Monkey Cage post, Brian Schaffner, Wouter Van Erve, and Ray LaRaja seek to explain why towns like Ferguson, Missouri have such a disparity between the percent of...

By Seth Masket

August 18, 2014 9:31 AM Should We Compensate Organ Donors?

Over 100,000 Americans are currently on a waiting list for an organ donation, but the number of living and dead donors this year will not remotely approach that number. As...

By Keith Humphreys

August 17, 2014 7:11 PM Can Millennials Reverse America's Declining Rates of Entrepreneurship?

There has been considerable hand wringing in recent months about research (pdf) showing a decline in American entrepreneurship, a fall in “economic dynamism” (the turnover of companies and jobs), and...

By Dane Stangler and Jordan Bell-Masterson

August 17, 2014 6:27 PM Ruling Against the NCAA

A federal judge ruled against the NCAA in the so-called Ed O’Bannon case, opening the way for players to share in licensing revenue (the use of their image and likeness on TV,...

By Don Taylor

August 15, 2014 3:50 PM The One Candidate Who Could Still Challenge Clinton (But Probably Won't)

Jonathan Bernstein gives (and Ed Kilgore endorses) plenty of reasons to think that it will be hard for any Democrat to challenge Hillary Clinton for the nomination. Both focus on...

By Andrew Sabl

August 15, 2014 3:45 PM Weekend Film Recommendation: The Hitch-Hiker

Ida Lupino was a central figure in the breaking of the all-male lock on the Hollywood director’s chair. While she was looking for a new project to make with...

By Keith Humphreys

August 15, 2014 10:17 AM 16.2 Million Cannabis Addicts? No, Of Course I Didn't Say That, Bill Bennett Just Made It Up

In his latest anti-cannabis-legalization screed, (behind the Wall Street Journal paywall), written with a former federal prosecutor named Robert White, William Bennett writes: Mark A.R. Kleiman, a professor of public...

By Mark Kleiman

August 14, 2014 3:50 PM Question Day: Is It Too Late to Enter the Presidential Race?

Commenter "Davis X. Machina" asks: "What's the absolute latest a candidate can realistically get into a presidential race? Not ballot-deadlines-latest, but real-world." Great question. During the last cycle, numerous pundits...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 14, 2014 9:52 AM Avik Roy's Health Reform Proposal

Avik Roy released a health reform proposal yesterday, published by the Manhattan Institute (full pdf). I am not going to go all post-modern literary critic on this (only deconstruct), in part because a lot...

By Don Taylor

August 13, 2014 6:05 PM Candidate Book Sales Are for Suckers

Dave Weigel, who is an excellent reporter and (I'm pretty sure) just having some fun here, noted that potential Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson has outsold Hillary Clinton in the...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 13, 2014 6:00 PM Lead and Crime, Continued

Yesterday I returned to banging the (Kevin) drum about the pernicious effects of environmental lead. Both a note from a reader and comments elsewhere about Kevin’s latest post suggest that...

By Mark Kleiman

August 13, 2014 12:09 PM California's Strange, Tragic Embrace of Prisons

California has for decades operated a large number of overcrowded prisons, in which conditions were recently described by Supreme Court Justice Kennedy as incompatible with the concept of human dignity...

By Keith Humphreys

August 13, 2014 11:34 AM Lead, Evil, and Corporate Free Speech

Kevin Drum, who’s been doing Pulitzer-quality science and policy reporting on the behavioral effects of environmental lead, has yet another item today, once again reporting a new paper by Jessica...

By Mark Kleiman

August 13, 2014 12:23 AM When Everyone's Libertarian, No One Is

In last weekend's New York Times magazine, Robert Draper profiles Sen. Rand Paul and describes the nation's current "libertarian moment." "Today," writes Draper, "for perhaps the first time, the libertarian...

By Seth Masket

August 12, 2014 12:12 PM The Solution to the Crisis in Iraq is to Craft a New Balance of Power

Southwest Asia has been with me for a long time. For over a decade, I was a small part of a fairly well-orchestrated U.S. strategy to maintain the balance of...

By Lawrence Wilkerson

August 12, 2014 11:48 AM There is No American Strategy in Kurdistan

In his recent interview with Thomas Friedman the president was clear that he's hesitant to "be in the business of being the Iraqi air force." Since he is in that...

By Jonathan Dworkin

August 11, 2014 4:22 PM HAHAHAHA: I Like the Ames Straw Poll

Ed Kilgore notes today that the infamous Ames straw poll is less than a year away, at least if it actually takes place. There’s some talk about canceling it. For...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 11, 2014 2:05 PM It's Still Thatcher's Britain, Other Politicians Just Live In It

Leo Panitch is appalled by UK Labour Party Leader Ed Milliband’s public embrace of “responsible capitalism”: The fact is that the leaders of erstwhile socialist parties have been talking the...

By Keith Humphreys

August 11, 2014 12:47 PM My Dinner With Julian

A few weeks ago, I got to have dinner with Julian Bond.  We have a friend in common, who asked me to recommend a play for when “my friend Julian...

By Kelly Kleiman

August 10, 2014 5:05 PM Watergate Exposed the Emptiness of Spin

One more lesson of Watergate: Spin is futile. Events are decisive. A persistent myth of the scandal is that journalists were the heroes. The movie version of that story, "All...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 10, 2014 9:15 AM Secretary John Kerry and That Girly Bike

Governor Jindal apparently dislikes Secretary Kerry’s transportation choices: Jindal says he’d rather John Kerry be “riding a girly bike or windsurfing” than be on the job screwing up foreign policy....

By Harold Pollack

August 08, 2014 1:20 PM Welcome to Wal-Mart, the Doctor Will See You Now

As its retail business matures into slower growth, Wal-Mart Stores Inc. wants to disrupt another mass market: health care. The company is piloting what it hopes will be a broad...

By Megan McArdle

August 08, 2014 8:03 AM Weekend Film Recommendation: Pickup on South Street

Many films have been set in seamy settings where everyone is on the make, believing in nothing and exuding cynicism until something comes along to drive one person into...

By Keith Humphreys

August 07, 2014 11:28 AM Ronald Reagan and Plagiarism

So I’ve been in the West of Ireland without proper Internet access for several days, and am catching up with umpteen posts in my RSS reader. I was going to...

By Henry Farrell

August 06, 2014 6:03 PM How to Target Nonexistent Fraud

At the Monkey Cage today, Justin Levitt has a nice summary of the evidence -- or better, the nonevidence -- on voter impersonation fraud. The headline is that he has...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 05, 2014 6:11 PM Rick Perlstein and the New York Times

You might think, from this article, that there is a real issue about Rick Perlstein’s scholarship.  But you would be wrong, and what a pity that Alter, just hired, would...

By Michael O'Hare

August 05, 2014 10:35 AM Catch of the Day: Yes, Polarization Is Important

Matt Yglesias has posted an excellent response to my tantrum last week about polarization. Yglesias does a good job of using Hans Noel to argue that the current polarized situation...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 05, 2014 10:01 AM Three Misunderstandings about 24/7 Sobriety for Alcohol-Involved Offenders

Mark Kleiman and I have written extensively about how 24/7 Sobriety and similar programs (e.g., HOPE Probation) have good evidence of reducing crime, imprisonment and drug use. Last week, The...

By Keith Humphreys

August 04, 2014 4:39 PM Every Senate Seat Counts

A new estimate from Nate Silver gives Republicans a 60 percent chance of winning a Senate majority in November. That’s a bit higher than the Upshot model (53 percent), and...

By Jonathan Bernstein

August 04, 2014 10:46 AM Choose Your Grifter

Steve LaTourette used to be a congressman from Ohio who was closely aligned with Speaker John Boehner. Now he runs a Super PAC called "Defending Main Street" that tries to...

By Martin Longman

August 03, 2014 3:57 PM The Annals of Commerce

Let’s see, today we have Ebola, Gaza, Ukraine, and our freedoms under siege by an invasion of children.  Maybe we need a break for something a little less ponderous. Advertising...

By Michael O'Hare

August 03, 2014 11:56 AM Palestinian Civilians Aren't the Bad Guys

Israel is a democratic state that is trying to respect human rights while defending itself against an adversary, Hamas, that does not. Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's prime minister, is obviously right...

By Ramesh Ponnuru

August 01, 2014 7:26 PM CBO scoring and the Halbig Case

I’m no expert either on ACA or on the dark art of statutory interpretation, but unless someone tells me otherwise I’m going to regard Dylan Scott’s story as nailing down...

By Mark Kleiman

August 01, 2014 8:21 AM Kentucky Shows Why We Fought For the ACA

Via the indispensible Sarah Kliff at Vox, this pre-post map of Kentucky health insurance coverage puts a lump in my throat. This is what we fought for ACA, and what...

By Harold Pollack

August 01, 2014 8:08 AM Weekend Film Recommendation: The Three Musketeers

Be prepared to buckle your swash and save the day in this week’s big-budget movie recommendation, as we’re going back to the 17th century in Richard Lester’s take on The...

By Johann Koehler

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